How many of these Prime Rural one million plus customers that are starved for broadband will drop their sat service and go with the cheaper internet TV service? I am saying at least 25% will and that will equal 300,000 subscriber loss and that's being conservative. Imagine when the numbers start showing up in the following quarterly reports from Dish, you think the rumblings you heard today were loud,, just wait
There is one tiny issue with your claim. Products like Vue and SlingTV are changing the game, but only in certain ways. These channels are not being offered with the same type of services you get with a Dish or Directv. No true DVR (forget about EHDs!), programs only available for a certain amount of time, no access to bonus content.
Want to record an HBO movie for later, when you don't get HBO? Can't do it.
Want to watch programming on beinSport Connect if you have SlingTV? Not available.
Want to watch Live Extra games for EPL on Vue? Not provided.
These services are restricted. And that is the reason why a massive flood of people haven't jumped from Dish to SlingTV. People like me have 500 GB, 1 TB, 2+ TB of recorded programming that would be lost. Programming we would never be able to get back. Additionally, the DVR or On Demand portions of these services are gravely restricted, relative to what we have now.
That is the source of the discounted rates. OTTs are not going to all of a sudden offer the same DVR cloud services and offer all the programming for nothing more.
OTTs are good. It offers the consumer choice, but it is a choice. Kind of like when I went to Latino Dos to get cheaper EPL access in the FSC days. It was cheaper, but I no longer received certain channels like the ESPN suite. OTTs offer a lower price, but it comes with catches. And the consumer at least gets to choose what they are willing to give up for what price.
But this idea that the cable/sat system is dead is folly. It is changing and adapting with the times and channel providers are having to adapt to as they priced their channels too high. But the current system isn't dying quite yet. The status quo offers a significant premium, mainly bonus streaming and online content and fat DVRs bursting with entertainment a lot of people will have a hard time letting go.