Believed by whom? It doesn't take very long to replace an analog tuner with a digital tuner.
Because D* and E* share a lot of the backhauls, they'll be collectively motivated to see that the necessary changes are made.
Furthermore, D* and E* have submitted statements to the FCC that if the agency can force local broadcasters to reveal when they plan to begin digital broadcast, D* and E* fell they can meet the deadline. However, the great fear, and most likely scenario to occur, is that far too many stations will wait until the last moment to begin digital broadcast. In such a case, both satellite companies have said that this will result in interruption of Local-into-Local for a fair number of subscribers.
This was rather shocking news when it was revealed about a month ago, but both companies are on record with the FCC regarding this issue, and it must be taken at face value because it would not be very good business for either D* or E* to admit to this possible bad situation that could irk many subscribers and cause some to leave satellite for something else unless it were true, IMHO.
This is because both satellite services have to send real people out to all those cities to make the necessary changes at the "antenna farms" that currently receive the analog signals. I believe Dish is on record saying they have about 8 engineers for this task (the number could be a bit higher-18-, but certainly, the number I recall was was really quite low) and without sufficient early warning, both Dish and Direct (one must presume that Direct has a similarly small number of engineers dedicated to the task of LiL "antenna farms") say it is physically impossible for them to have the small number of engineers dedicated to this part of the operation to change all the analog over to digital in time for the cut-off date.
The key is if the FCC can get the local broadcasters to reveal and commit to their plans and dates for digital broadcast. To the contrary, this really does have the capacity to be a pretty big fiasco.
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