.LONG TERM (TUE NIGHT-
SAT)...ALL MODELS SHOW A VERY IMPRESSIVE PLUME
OF RICH SUBTROPICAL
MOISTURE WITH
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES BETWEEN
1.7 AND 1.9 BEING DRIVEN INTO THE W COAST BY A 120
KNOT JET...BUT
SUBTLE DIFFERENCES IN THE PLACEMENT OF THE
JET ARE RESULTING IN
MAJOR DIFFERENCES IN THE LOCATION OF THE PRECIP MAXES. THE
GFS
CONTINUES TO BE SHARPER WITH THE
SRN END OF THE UPPER LOW AS IT
SWINGS INTO THE W COAST...SO IT CONTINUES TO BRING BETTER MID LEVEL
DYNAMICS FARTHER S...RESULTING IN HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE ENTIRE
FCST
AREA TUE NIGHT INTO WED...WITH THE HIGHEST TOTALS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES
ACROSS
SLO AND SBA COUNTIES. THE
ECMWF HAS TRENDED FARTHER S WITH
THE
SRN EXTENT OF ITS HEAVY RAINS...BRINGING AT LEAST ONE HALF INCH
TO ONE INCH OF RAIN TO EVEN
SRN PORTIONS OF THE
FCST AREA...WITH
OVER 4 INCHES ACROSS
SLO COUNTY. THE WRF CONTINUES TO KEEP THE
BULK OF THE RAIN ACROSS
SLO AND SBA COUNTIES...ALTHOUGH IT DOES
BRING SOME DECENT TOTALS INTO THE FOOTHILLS OF VTU COUNTY. HAVE
INCREASED
POPS AND EXPECTED PRECIP ACROSS THE ENTIRE
FCST AREA TUE
NIGHT AND WED.