MLB 2013 Season

In the last 10 years, the number of 20 #1 seats that made it to the WS was 5, 4 in the AL and 1 in the NL. So 5/20 is 25% which is exactly chance probability. This means that having the best record does not improve you odds of going to the WS (at least using the last 10 years as a measure.)

In the NL it was only 1 out of 10.

These teams were the 2013 Yankees, 2004 Cardinals, 2005 White Sox, 2007 Red Sox, and 2009 Yankees

I'll look at how many WC went to the WS next.
 
The 20 WC teams have gone to the WS 6 times in the last 10 years, 2 in the AL and 4 in the NL. 6 out of 20 teams is 30%. This is not statistically significant because the sample size is too small. Each individual represents 5%. Although the WC was 5% more, it was only 1 more total team. Still statistically close to chance of 25%.

I do believe that over a longer 30 year period, this too will deviate to the mean of 25%.
 
Because the statistics prove it doesn't. HFA does not play a major role in baseball. You can believe it all you want, but the facts show otherwise. So, it is not that important to have the best record. It is more important to have a hot and healthy team.
Agreed, but resting players too soon can make both hard to achieve...
 
Magic numbers with two weeks to go...........

AMERICAN LEAGUE
Boston: playoff berth-3......AL East-4.......HFA-10
Oakland: playoff berth-7.........AL West-8
Detroit: playoff berth-9...........AL Central-9
Tampa Bay: playoff berth-14
Texas: playoff berth-14

Still alive: Cleveland, Baltimore, New York, Kansas City, Los Angeles
Eliminated: Houston, Chicago, Minnesota, Seattle, Toronto


NATIONAL LEAGUE
Atlanta: playoff berth-4........NL East-4.......HFA-12
Pittsburgh: playoff berth-6.........NL Central-14
St. Louis: playoff berth-6........NL Central-14
Los Angeles: NL West-4
Cincinnati: playoff berth-9

Still Alive: Washington, Arizona
Eliminated: Miami, Chicago, Milwaukee, New York, San Diego, San Francisco, Colorado, Philadelphia
 
Matt Kemp has been officially activated. Won't be starting today however. Probably wont start for a few days.

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One swing of the bat by Goldsmidth in the first inning, the Dodgers will lose their 4th in a row. There is now way the Albuquerque Dodgers will score more than 2 runs.

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One swing of the bat by Goldsmidth in the first inning, the Dodgers will lose their 4th in a row. There is now way the Albuquerque Dodgers will score more than 2 runs.

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STOP IT!!! Now you are starting to annoy a fellow Angelino! For God's sake man it is the FIRST inning. Keep quiet it is over...ok?????


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STOP IT!!! Now you are starting to annoy a fellow Angelino! For God's sake man it is the FIRST inning. Keep quiet it is over...ok?????

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I'll bet you a year membership that the Dodgers will not score more than 2 runs. The lineup they have out there today is incapable of scoring that much. Unless the DBacks score a bunch and their pitching relaxes some.

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I'll bet you a year membership that the Dodgers will not score more than 2 runs. The lineup they have out there today is incapable of scoring that much. Unless the DBacks score a bunch and their pitching relaxes some.

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So what???? You are in the playoffs. Sit back and enjoy. I appreciate your passion but you need to chill. See you in October. ;)


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I don't do excuses. I don't comment based on emotion. I post opinion simply based on observation and statistical odds.

It is unlikely that the backup players they are fielding can score more than 2 runs.

Their lead off hitter is batting 4th, their #5 hitter is batting .240 with only 7 HRs. That is the best they have outside of Gonzalez.

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So what???? You are in the playoffs. Sit back and enjoy. I appreciate your passion but you need to chill. See you in October. ;)

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Exactly. So what? I've been stating for the last few days it is more important they get healthy than field a team that can win several in a row.

Just critiquing the game. It has nothing to do with passion.

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Exactly. So what? I've been stating for the last few days it is more important they get healthy than field a team that can win several in a row.

Just critiquing the game. It has nothing to do with passion.

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All good. Calm down and enjoy. October matters;)


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Oklahoma State basketball legend Bob Kurland dies at 88

L.C. Greenwood RIP

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