jnardone said:
If the revenue wasn't greater than 5.3 million and VOOM gained 20,000 subscribers in Q4 where did the money from these subscribers go?
It could have gone to the cost of installs. There are very few real numbers from 4Q to deal with.
Revenue $5.3 million ($14.9 for the year)
Operating Loss $449.8 million ($203.8 before impairment, $415.4 for the year before impairment)
4Q Operating Loss $94.9 million (w/o impairment or $108.9 write-down)
The fourth quarter and full year operating loss reflect an impairment charge of $246.0 million, reflecting management’s estimates of the excess of the carrying value over the fair value of long lived assets, which has been recorded in depreciation and amortization. In addition, fourth quarter and full year operating loss and AOCF include $108.9 million of technical and operating expense that reflects the write-down to net realizable value of certain assets consisting primarily of equipment inventory and licensed film rights.
Voom seems to have lost more on paper that happened to hit last quarter than in that particular quarter's operations.
3Q Revenues: $5.920 million
3Q Operating Loss: $75.273 million
(And a DECLINE in subscriber count in September. CVC 3Q 10-Q )
Hmmm... they made 600k less in revenue and spent $19 million more operating the system. Where did the extra $19 million go?
It's all numbers but imagine the cost of a three room install. 3 Voom receivers and a dish installed. About $1k in my imagination (Voom charges $1100 without a promo). Now imaging giving that away for $1, losing about $1k (keeping nice numbers) per three room install.
$19 million / $1000 = 19,000 three room installs. Plus the 26k they had and voila - 45,000 subscribers!
jnardone said:
If all the new subscribers were added between Q4 and today then why was there no strain on the VOOM system since they went from adding 2,000 to adding 10,000 subscribers per month virtualy overnight?
It would also be a miracle turn around that should in itself saved Voom.
Assuming for the moment that the 46k is not a most unfortunate typo.
It could be a Dec 31st figure ... installing more than a net 200 customers per day including weekends and Christmas. or it could be an "end of month" figure for February reflecting 133 net installs per day including weekends. Not an impossible number. (V*'s growth through Sept 30th would have required around 100 installs per day - not counting uninstalls.)
But the $600k less revenue in 4Q looks more like a loss of customers. V* was having problems keeping customers and making them pay. E*'s application for the licenses for Rainbow1 stated that 39% of those who had activated Voom service had either terminated service or were 90 days or more past due. If Voom had added 20k throughout the quarter SOME positive impact should have been seen on revenues.
It's a cruel game of math that could easily be solved by having Voom's owners give a number that they must stand by. Even E*'s application to the FCC used the old September 26,000 figure.
Wouldn't it be funny if the number is still 26,000 and the Dolans made a typo?
JL