I believe he is quite correct about that. this litigation will probably be over long before that will.
Let's first clarify one thing, the reason we are even talking about this new lawsuit is an admission that TiVo might fail on the contempt issue, why? Because if E* is in contempt, this new suit will likely be moot. So let's put things in perspective. For a very long time, TiVo folks talked about why E* was in contempt on the face, new design or not, to today talking about the new case may be many years from now, that is a huge change of attitude already
Frankly it looks to me like the patent re-examination is just sour grapes on the part of Dish in case they lose. If they can't win, they want to make sure no one does. If anything I take it as an indication that they don't believe they will win in court.
Now you of course can have your opinion, the problem is TiVo folks cannot face facts. The fact is in any reexamination, once granted, the statistics do not lie. Among all such cases, 72% of the chance the patent claims are invalidated in whole or in part. This much is undisputed.
Why? For the USPTO to even grant a reexamination, there has to be very good justifications. The fact TiVo got its patent validated last time was against the odds, very good I must admit, but it does not change the fact the odds are against TiVo once a reexamination is granted.
"If they can't win" is a false premise. What we have been talking about since 5/30/08 is this contempt issue, TiVo simply cannot secure a ruling in its favor, so TiVo is losing, until such time Judge Folsom hands TiVo a contempt ruling, E* is not in contempt.
The only thing TiVo won was the original judgement and the injucntion, they have yet won a single new thing since 2006. Many TiVo folks like to brag about E* paying the $104M a few months ago, but they failed to realize that the only reason they can now brag about it is because the payment was delayed by over two years. In most cases the payments would have been paid a longe time ago, in fact for the majority of the cases, the defendants simply settled and paid even before the trial had started, just ask DirecTV and Time Warner
Not true, you are correct there,
The reason for the double talk is because I was right, a contempt ruling, once final, of course can be appealed, that was the only point.
but a preliminary injunction or new or updated final injunction, even if appealed is much less likely to be stayed this time around. So an appeal may not be very helpful. We will just have to wait and see about that part.
That is of course a different point. While it is possible the appeals court may not stay the order, most times the orders are stayed pending appeal. But like you said, we will have to wait and see. But let's not hold our breadth on this one, it may never come to that at all, if you know what I mean.
But let's not talk about some preliminary injunction, there is no such thing here. Now if you want to talk about some "updated final injunction" be my guest, there is hardly anything like such in the real world. Since this permanent injunction did not work in TiVo's favor, maybe the judge will issue a more powerful new injunction, it does not happen that way for the most part. But if the thought of that makes TiVo folks more hopeful, so be it.
Back to the ex parte examination again? This has been well discussed. The new issues are simply a retry based on two patents that were presented, but not thoroughly evaluated at the last re-examination. The new twist is that both prior art patents have to be used in conjunction with each other to possibly invalidate the TiVo claims. The examiner will look at it. there may have been good reason why they were not thoroughly looked over the first time around.
Not "good reason" but "substantial
new question." Had the examiner looked over it the first time thoroughly, it is possible we would not be here talking at all.
assuming TiVo wins. Dish knows this and still is stringing things out. They obviously believe the delays are worth any additional costs if they lose and know there is no downside at all if they win. Dish did the math, they know what they are doing here.
Can't argue against you when you agree E* knows what they are doing
In as little as two weeks, My guess, we should hear from DE and TX and have real new information to discuss and can put some of this idle speculation to bed.
I will not bet on that, though it is possible a ruling or two can happen tomorrow, it is also possible we may not hear anything in two months. One thing though, real new info continues to trickle down from time to time despite of no final ruling.