Kansas City’s penalty advantage
Is the propagated notion that the Chiefs get love from officials and
Patrick Mahomes gets bailed out with roughing-the-passer penalties true? Once we believe something is true — and who outside of Kansas City doesn’t believe the Chiefs get the breaks from the zebras? — we have a bias of remembering all the incidents that confirm it, while forgetting all that contradict it.
In the postseason during their Super Bowl run (2022-to-present), Chiefs opponents committed 6.875 penalties per game, according to Pro-Football Reference. Those penalties have accounted for 56.4 yards per game. Opponents to teams other than the Chiefs average 4.6 penalties, accounting for an average of 36.8 yards. That’s a differential of 20.4 yards per game.
NFL teams averaged 14.8 yards per point in 2024, so that’s about 1.4 points more — pretty significant. (The Chiefs have been flagged 3.75 times per game for 34.1 yards.)
Is Mahomes protected to an outlying degree by refs?
Mike Pereira, a former NFL official and current Fox Sports rules analyst, recently spoke to NFL Network’s Rich Eisen about this idea:
“It doesn’t resonate with me at all. … The fact that you’re looking out for anyone, any team, any individual, is a myth. It is an absolute myth. You don’t have time to react and say, ‘This is Goff, I’m not going to call this because it’s Goff,’ or, ‘This is Mahomes, I’ve got to call this because it’s Mahomes.'”
Coincidence or not, the numbers clearly favor Mahomes. According to
NFL Penalties, Mahomes has drawn five roughing-the-passer penalties in the past five postseason games, an average of one per game. This is not counting roughing calls on him as a runner, like the one that basically won the AFC championship for the Chiefs in 2022. The average for active QBs in the playoffs is 0.12 per game. His career average of 0.412 per postseason game is the highest among all active QBs. Incredibly,
Joe Flacco,
Joe Burrow,
Jalen Hurts,
Lamar Jackson and
Matthew Stafford have combined for zero roughing-the-passer calls in 55 career postseason games.