Incentive Auction Discussion

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Can't wait till this mess is over soon...hope I do not lose any of my channels, oh and to the individual that is on my butt about the UHF antenna 8 bay, well guess what I took it down, bought a clear view 4 from antennas direct. Can catch most everything now.
 
What makes you think that with Wheeler's background, he wouldn't be favorable to the incoming administration?
There are a lot of reasons why Wheeler wouldn't be favorable to the incoming administration, and especially as head of the FCC.

First, Wheeler is a Democrat. The new administration is Republican. Republicans appoint Republicans to the post, and Democrats appoint Democrats to the post. Look at the history of the position. Only twice has an incoming FCC Chair been a different party as the President: in 1944, but only for one month, and from 1966-9, when Johnson appointed a Republican who had already served as FCC Chair in the Eisenhower administration. Since 1993, every FCC Chair has resigned effective January 19 to allow the new administration to appoint its own person. As I said before, it is a political appointment, so background and skills, while important, are not nearly as important as party affiliation. I'm sure Wheeler himself recognizes that, as it was ultimately his decision to step down, not the Trump administration's. Oh, I'm sure they've made it very clear that they would rather he not be there, but it was Wheeler's choice in the end.

Second, Wheeler's views on regulation run counter to what the new administration wants to do. His stand on net neutrality, especially his advocacy to classify broadband as a Title II service, allowing the federal government to regulate it in the same manner as telephone service, is a prime example. Trump has made it clear that he favors deregulation. The administration does not want a chairperson fighting their policies, and the chairperson does not want to be present while the administration is fighting to dismantle everything they had worked for in the past four years.

Third, I'm not so sure Wheeler's background made him a good choice for the position in the first place. Wheeler's background was as a venture capitalist, and as a lobbyist for the wireless and cable industry, serving as head of the Cellular Telecom and Internet Association (CTIA) from 1992 to 2004. He was a controversial choice when he was appointed, and for good reason.

Both Upton and Walden are Republicans so I'm not sure where you get the "bipartisan" idea.
I get the bipartisan idea from the fact that the spectrum auction and repack is a bipartisan idea, conceived by Democrats and Republicans alike, implemented in a Democrat administration with Republican assistance.

I get the bipartisan idea from the fact that this letter is almost word-for-word identical to the letter that Democrats Jay Rockefeller and Henry Waxman wrote to outgoing Republican Commission Chair Kevin Martin in December 2008. In each case, the incumbent FCC Chair was known for taking bold actions to promote his agenda, while the incoming administration would be taking a completely different approach. Each of these letters was a shot across the bow warning the incumbent not to do anything controversial.

Regardless of whether the players are Republican or Democrat, status quo is their friend.

If you look at what's been happening thus far, it looks like the tracks may end on a siding. It isn't the politicians that are at the switch here but a wireless industry that has shown a righteous unwillingness to pay more money for less spectrum.
That's one way to look at it. Another way is that even though the total amount of money offered by the wireless industry for the spectrum has decreased from round to round, the price offered for the spectrum has been fairly stable, and has actually increased a bit. In stage one, the wireless industry bid approx. $22.45B for 126 MHz of spectrum, or about $178M per MHz. In stage two, the bid was approx. $21.5B for 114 MHz, or about $189M per MHz. In stage three, it was $19.7B for 108 MHz, or $182M per MHz. So while I would agree that the wireless industry is unwilling to pay more for less, (and why should they?) that doesn't mean that the auction is off the tracks or "on a siding" as you put it. I think we're establishing what value the wireless industry is willing to put on the spectrum: about $175M - $190M per MHz. That would put the forward bid in stage four anywhere from $15.3B - $16B, if the wireless industry holds the line.

On the spectrum incentive auction topic in general, and especially for those who think the broadcast stations have been greedy, here is a good read: Debunking a Few Myths about the FCC's Incentive Auction.
 
Wheeler's background was as a venture capitalist, and as a lobbyist for the wireless and cable industry, serving as head of the Cellular Telecom and Internet Association (CTIA) from 1992 to 2004.
This seems right up Trump's alley -- someone who is driven by profit and will do what it takes to get his way. The love of money follows no political boundaries.
I get the bipartisan idea from the fact that this letter is almost word-for-word identical to the letter that Democrats Jay Rockefeller and Henry Waxman wrote to outgoing Republican Commission Chair Kevin Martin in December 2008.
History repeating itself is not the same as a "bipartison effort". Bi-partisan effort is indicated uniquely by multiple members of each party backing the same statement. To associate two initiatives eight years apart ignores the quantum shift in political climate as well as the natural time shift in party ideology.

I also saw a post in another thread where some gubmint agency claims 90% broadband availability. They must be smoking plastic mushrooms.
 
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Does anyone of you know how we can find out if we gonna lose any stations in our Markets over this auction buyout.
Until such time as the final lopping of channels is known, there's no reasonable way to project what will be involved. You can't model something that you don't have the key parameter (how many channels will be available) for.

Further, those who think their current channels are safe may be ignoring neighboring markets that are going to have to be given share or the remaining pie. There may be a certain cascade effect that forces smaller broadcast areas or lots of channel moves in the smaller markets as the larger markets squeeze things together.
 
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To associate two initiatives eight years apart ignores the quantum shift in political climate as well as the natural time shift in party ideology.
The only thing being ignored in this discussion is the fact that the Incentive Auction is in no danger of failure. Rather, it is working exactly as it was designed to work. This is not some retail transaction with a set quantity of product offered at a set price; it is an auction, where both the quantity of product and the price are being negotiated. Negotiations take time, and don't always succeed on the first try. In fact, if both sides are skilled in negotiating, it almost never succeeds on the first try, or second, or third, etc. As I said before, we are getting a sense of the worth the buyer puts on the product. Now we will see if the sellers have the same worth in mind. If not, then they can always take their ball and go home, i.e.., drop out of the auction, and the wireless carriers miss an opportunity to acquire more spectrum, along with damaging their credibility for the next time they whine about needing more.

Let the process play out. Stage four of the reverse auction should end Friday. Next week, we will find out the results of stage four of the forward auction.
 
Until such time as the final lopping of channels is known, there's no reasonable way to project what will be involved. You can't model something that you don't have the key parameter (how many channels will be available) for.

Further, those who think their current channels are safe may be ignoring neighboring markets that are going to have to be given share or the remaining pie. There may be a certain cascade effect that forces smaller broadcast areas or lots of channel moves in the smaller markets as the larger markets squeeze things together.
WOW, we got at least 30 plus between Baton Rouge and Lafayette. Then there is the 4 NBC's in that Triangle (KPLC, KLAF, WVLA, KALB). I'm afraid we may lose a couple, hopefully those combine on another channel that's staying...
 
The only thing being ignored in this discussion is the fact that the Incentive Auction is in no danger of failure.
Then why the memo to a presumed short-timer?

While the auctions are costing unimaginable amounts of money, I'm not seeing a convergence between what the FCC is offering and what the wireless industry is willing to pay. To see success, they should be coming together rather than both decreasing.
 
And how many NBCs does one need? I could almost be happy with none.
I feel the same way about CBS. I'd rather have ABC and FOX, as well as The CW and MyNetworkTV. Besides the Big Bang Theory, The Price is Right and Let's Make a Deal and local news, I don't find CBS all that interesting. NBC doesn't have many great TV shows either.

I agree about those four NBC affiliates. Maybe they should combine their operations or sell some of those stations to other affiliates outside the "big five" of ABC/NBC/CBS/CW/MY.

Maybe they could convert one NBC to a Telemundo affiliate if the Spanish population is large enough to support it or have one of the NBC affiliates convert to an "independent" station, or if your market does not have one, convert it to an Ion Television affiliate.
 
The other stations in Baton Rouge I need.
We often want things that we don't really need.

At one time I thought I needed a whole host of channels (and there used to be compelling content to warrant it) but after careful examination of what I actually watch, that's not the case. Getting excited about adding more mud to the bog is to ignore things that might actually be beneficial.
 
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