Maybe I should wait until after the Red Sox win the World Series to post this, but as the saying goes, you're never as good as you look like you are when you're winning and your never as bad as you look like you are when you're losing. When the Sox had their epic collapse in September of 2011, they were the same team that had the best record in baseball over the stretch of 130 games immediately preceding the collapse, and as far as what happened to them in 2012, the only difference between that team and, say, the 2013 Washington Nationals, is the beer and chicken. Who in hell knows what went wrong in 2012? If they had won in 2012, the beer and chicken would have been "cool" and more marketable than this year's "beards"" image.
This year, the Red Sox had the best luck imaginable with their starting rotation. There biggest "failure" was Buchholz going 12-1 while missing half his starts, but if, before the season, you could choose between having Buchholz starting 34 games or having him instead start 16 and go 12-1 in those games and pitch Dempster/Doubront/Morales/Aceves in those other 18 starts and go minus three or minus four in those games, you'd take the 12-1 for 16 games in a second. The second biggest starting pitching failure was Aceves, whose had less adverse impact on the starting pitching than Bucky Brandon did in 1967.
Yeah, they lost TWO all-star closers, but that meant that they lost the closing services of just one, because you only get to use one, and what happened with Uehara is mind boggling. It was providence rather than managing brilliance that induced them to pay him $4 million or whatever, because he simply was believed to be worth that much money. Can he do it again next year? He sure looks like the real deal to me, but if a guy with a 92 MPH fastball is a little better than ordinary for a decade and a half but then finds magic at age 38, it just might not be there next year. Okajima and Bard fooled batters for one year each but never again found the magic.
The Red Sox "luck" with Ortiz and Napoli was unbelievable. Ortiz missed half of 2012 season with an ankle problem, and then it was determined this April that his six months of immobilization therapy over the off-season didn't work, so they did the insane thing of continuing that therapy for another month, and then it somehow worked and he played nearly all of the next 130 games. How is that even possible? And Napoli was definitively diagnosed as having some irreparable, untreatable, degenerative hip lubrication problem that will inevitably, prematurely end his career, so they signed a contract with $5 million guranteed and another $8 million in participation bonuses which he qualified for with ease. Basically, in betting on Ortiz and Napoli, the Red Sox won the breakdown "Exacta". What were the odds that these two guys who were breakdowns waiting to happen would not break down?
And then Nava became the little-engine-that-could. Do you know the story of this guy? He was 4'8" tall when he entered high school and 5'5"" when he graduated and couldn't make the team in junior college, and now he somehow finishes in the top ten in batting after a long, lackluster minor league career. How can that be, and how long can it continue?
The Red Sox management was derided for signing bargain basement "chemistry" players (no - not Tom House chemistry) like Gomes and Victorino and Carp. Victorino is a fan favorite who gets injured by about the seventh inning of every game but then comes back to play the next day. Fans can love a Gomes when their team wins 97 games, but if it only wins 90 next year and they miss the playoffs, then the question will be, "why didn't this big market team flush in cash buy a better corner outfielder?"
I'll be keeping my fingers crossed for another two weeks, but I stil hard to fathom that this team is on the verge of its third World Series in the last decade.