from a WS report
Event / Analysis
Rainbow DBS, the Voom satellite operator currently part of Cablevision, submitted the
winning bids for two non-CONUS (full continental US coverage) satellite slots in the FCC
auction. Rainbow DBS will acquire the two licenses for $3.2 million each, totaling $6.4
million, a remarkable bargain in our view at roughly $100,000 per channel. The purchase
price is a mere fraction of the $24 million per frequency set in the January 1996 FCC auction
for a full-CONUS license. The $6.4 million purchase is a very modest increment to the $482
million (including the $85 million for MVDDS bids) full-year 2004 budget for Voom capex,
although development of this spectrum would add to the long-term operational costs of the
start-up venture.
After only two rounds, Rainbow DBS emerged as the acquirer of the 32 unassigned channels
at 175 degrees and 32 unassigned channels at 166 degrees for $3.2 million each, and
EchoStar of the 29 unassigned channels at 157 degrees for $5.8 million. The licenses are
issued for 8-year term for broadcast DBS licensees.
EchoStar bid on the 166 degree license but opted out in the subsequent round, despite having
the financial wherewithal to outbid Rainbow DBS. We interpret EchoStar’s bidding tactic as
both a sign of commitment to its leased strategy with SES Americom and also comfort with
its capacity. Indeed, EchoStar already has capacity warehoused on the West Coast and was
notably bid only for the slots closest to the US mainland.
Although the two new licenses will increase Voom’s capacity, the licenses carry poor look
angles. Currently, Rainbow DBS is the licensee of 11 channels at 61.5 degrees. The 61.5
degree slot is also a non-CONUS one and as the easternmost of US DBS orbital slots, it
suffers from poor look angles across the northwest corridor such as in Seattle and Portland.
With the addition of the new licenses, then, Rainbow DBS spectrum will be concentrated in the
easternmost and westernmost of the US DBS orbital slots with compromised look angles.
We believe that Cablevision would likely be the source of funds until a new capital structure
can be secured for Rainbow Media Enterprises, similar to Cablevision’s subsidy of the $85
million for MVDDS spectrum in the January FCC auction. The Rainbow Media Enterprises
spin-off is mainly contingent on obtaining $600-$800 million in a new AMC/IFC/WE bank
credit facility and $500-$600 million from issuances of unsecured bonds.
FlashNote
Event / Analysis
Rainbow DBS, the Voom satellite operator currently part of Cablevision, submitted the
winning bids for two non-CONUS (full continental US coverage) satellite slots in the FCC
auction. Rainbow DBS will acquire the two licenses for $3.2 million each, totaling $6.4
million, a remarkable bargain in our view at roughly $100,000 per channel. The purchase
price is a mere fraction of the $24 million per frequency set in the January 1996 FCC auction
for a full-CONUS license. The $6.4 million purchase is a very modest increment to the $482
million (including the $85 million for MVDDS bids) full-year 2004 budget for Voom capex,
although development of this spectrum would add to the long-term operational costs of the
start-up venture.
After only two rounds, Rainbow DBS emerged as the acquirer of the 32 unassigned channels
at 175 degrees and 32 unassigned channels at 166 degrees for $3.2 million each, and
EchoStar of the 29 unassigned channels at 157 degrees for $5.8 million. The licenses are
issued for 8-year term for broadcast DBS licensees.
EchoStar bid on the 166 degree license but opted out in the subsequent round, despite having
the financial wherewithal to outbid Rainbow DBS. We interpret EchoStar’s bidding tactic as
both a sign of commitment to its leased strategy with SES Americom and also comfort with
its capacity. Indeed, EchoStar already has capacity warehoused on the West Coast and was
notably bid only for the slots closest to the US mainland.
Although the two new licenses will increase Voom’s capacity, the licenses carry poor look
angles. Currently, Rainbow DBS is the licensee of 11 channels at 61.5 degrees. The 61.5
degree slot is also a non-CONUS one and as the easternmost of US DBS orbital slots, it
suffers from poor look angles across the northwest corridor such as in Seattle and Portland.
With the addition of the new licenses, then, Rainbow DBS spectrum will be concentrated in the
easternmost and westernmost of the US DBS orbital slots with compromised look angles.
We believe that Cablevision would likely be the source of funds until a new capital structure
can be secured for Rainbow Media Enterprises, similar to Cablevision’s subsidy of the $85
million for MVDDS spectrum in the January FCC auction. The Rainbow Media Enterprises
spin-off is mainly contingent on obtaining $600-$800 million in a new AMC/IFC/WE bank
credit facility and $500-$600 million from issuances of unsecured bonds.
FlashNote