Voom featured in WSJ - Sept. 7, 2004

Here is the Wall Street Journal story:

Cablevision's Voom Reveals Slowing Subscriber Sign-Ups

By ELLEN SHENG September 10, 2004 3:06 p.m.
Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES

NEW YORK -- Voom, Cablevision Systems Corp.'s (CVC) new satellite business, had a hard time signing up customers during the months of July and August, the company revealed in a recent Securities and Exchange Commission filing.

Customer additions slowed dramatically during the summer months, with just 3,700 new subscribers joining. As of the end of August, Cablevision had 28,700 Voom subscribers. By comparison, Voom added 17,000 customers during the second quarter, which ended in June.

In its filing, Cablevision revealed continued installation and equipment problems, particularly with its antennas. The company also said that a decision to raise prices in August may have hurt subscribership.

"Unless we are able to reverse this trend and grow our customer base quickly and significantly, we are unlikely to have a successful (satellite) business," Cablevision warned in its filing.

Voom has been an unpopular proposition on Wall Street since its launch in October. As the latecomer to the satellite TV market, Voom has tried to make a niche by becoming an all high-definition TV provider. The service currently offers over 35 HD channels, including 21 original.

But other satellite operators, DirecTV Group Inc. (DTV), which is controlled by News Corp. (NWS) and EchoStar Communications Corp. (DISH), are adding HD channels and already have about 23.2 million customers combined.

Cablevision's decision to spin off Voom was partly motivated by the desire to mollify investors who wanted to rid their exposure to the relatively speculative business.

The nascent satellite business is scheduled to be spun off later this month along with several of Cablevison's valuable national programming assets: AMC, The Independent Film Channel, Women's Entertainment and Consolidated Regional Sports. As part of the transaction, Cablevision shareholders will receive one share of the newly independent company, to be called Rainbow Media, on top of each of their Cablevision shares.

Holding on to those Rainbow shares could turn out to be a good, though speculative, investment opportunity, particularly if Voom fails soon, Craig Moffett, an analyst at independent research firm Sanford C. Bernstein, said in a note Friday.

Moffett, who doesn't own Cablevision shares, raised his rating on the Bethpage, N.Y., cable operator to outperform from market perform Friday, citing that increased possibility of Voom's demise. Moffett estimates that Voom will run of out cash by mid-2006 and probably won't have enough subscribers to be self-sustaining by then.

Voom's failure could be good news for Cablevision, he said. It "will minimize cash drains and lead to a relatively timely closure of the business," he wrote.

Voom has already dragged on Cablevision's stock price considerably. Without assigning any value to Voom, Cablevision's other businesses are worth close to $24 a share, Moffett estimates. Cablevision's core cable business is worth about $19 a share while its networks are worth at least $1.4 billion, or about $5 to $6 a Cablevision share.

With Cablevison's share price so weighed down, the $24 price point represents a 31% premium over its current trading price.

Another upside to Cablevision's stock could be a Voom buyout by No. 2 satellite broadcaster EchoStar.

DirecTV recently unveiled plans to put four more satellites into orbit, increasing its total to 10. The announcement could be good news for Cablevision, as it puts the pressure on EchoStar to find a solution to its own local-HD capacity problem, he said.

Cablevision shares recently traded at $19.37, up 5.9%, or $1.07.
 
Hey Cablevision's stock is going up! Also, how many times is this article going to be posted? If you don't know Voom's having trouble getting off the ground, you live with your head in the ground by now.

I want to know about Voom's future plans.
 
If you read any of the VOOM financial stories, you would be aware that Cablevision's stock is only going up because it is divesting VOOM.
And as the SEC statement says, rather starkly, if the subs don't pick up dramatically and quickly, there will be not future for VOOM, and that failure would be a very bad things for the immediate future of HD, since any pressure VOOM might put on MSOs, D* or E* would evaporate.
But, unfortunately, gaining fewer than 30,000 subs in almost a year probably means VOOM never has put any pressure on anyone to add HD.
 
It's really dissapointing that they have lost so much steam. One one hand they had free everything and had too many customers; on the other hand, they raised their prices and no one signed up! I think V* has to look at itself long and hard and really wonder if it wants to be in the satellite bus. the people there are trying to make it work, but with no locals, no TiVo and no "sexy" promotions they can afford to run, they are dead in the water.

That leaves me wondering when I should jetison my Voom and go with either Comcast HD and the HD Tivo or DirectTV and hope to find an HD TiVo box for less than $1,000! But there are no major pushes with Direct's HD service outside of the sunday ticket (which I would love) but the STB costs $300! ouch.

I love ya Voom, but your days in my home are numbered...
 

Cablevision's Voom Reveals Slowing Subscriber Sign-Ups

The Inner Circle - September 2004

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