First-
THANKS for all the help. I'm still considering it and beating it to death from all angles. I might take the motorcycle safety course and have that be part of my decision making process. The course uses cycles, not scooters, so that means bigger machines with more hp, plus shifting. Probably be good for me to relearn it all anyway.
I'm looking inward to decide why I'm interested. Save money? Sure- between $3 and $3.35 per day that I commute on the scooter, at today's fuel rates. I've been very careful in calculating that and have confidence that at today's prices (reg $3.16, premium $3.43, diesel $2.90) that would be the savings. Not much, but certainly would build up over time.
Is it really a "fun factor" that I'm refusing to admit? Kinda late (& cheap!) for a mid life crisis. I suspect it's just a hedge, a desire to be able to get around very cheaply in case fuel hits $5 a gallon or more. Of course, if that happens, we've probably got a lot more to worry about, like employment. Of course, I can always buy one later if fuel spikes, but then these things might be kinda scarce and expensive. One thing I have noticed from the internet and talking with dealers is that there seems to be increasing interest in them and sales are increasing. Now that I'm looking, I'm noticing a few on the roads.
It might be moot, since some guys at work assure me that if I drive a scooter to work just
ONCE, they'll razz me enough to make sure I never do it again!
Some of these "scooters" are 650cc! I'm only considering 150cc.
Anyway,
IF I buy one, it won't be a Vespa. And it won't be 2 stroke. As one guy put it, about 2 strokes- do you want a hobby, or do you want transportation?
I don't drink coffee or smoke, and I limit myself to just one soda a day (usually). I'm not much into chocolate or ice cream. I could save $30 a month by dropping an IPTV system I don't even really use- attracted by the technology but not the content, I guess. Probably should cut back on drinking to save a few bucks. Maybe it's
not the money. Maybe it's the dependence upon expensive fuel that bugs me. I've toyed with making my own biodiesel after the warranty is up.
I can't pedal to work, as I must travel a few miles along a major street (Braddock Rd). No way on a bicycle. But a 150cc scooter could keep up to the speed limit (45) even up the hills. Not really a problem, since when I'm commuting
nobody's going 45. It's stop and go, which is probably safer.
I was surprised to see that after weekends, holidays and vacation days, we actually only work a bit less than two thirds of the days of the year. And I've considered that with bad weather, I might only use it 75% of the time. So I'm estimating 179 scooter commuting days per year. I've disregarded using it for errands, just to be on the conservative side. That works out to $500 or $600 a year in fuel savings the first year. After 6 years, with 8% rate of increase in fuel costs per year, that's between $4,000 and over $4,400 in cumulative fuel savings. Subtract about $120/year for insurance, and maintenance costs. That might cut the savings almost in half. But then also consider that the truck maintenance costs will also be reduced, certainly more than offsetting the scooter maintenance costs. Heck, one change of oil and filters on the truck would likely be more than a year's maintenance on the scooter. So the savings estimates are probably not too far off, and a bit on the conservative side.
Unless fuel doesn't increase in price. What if it really goes down in price? Going by
this site gas prices have increased in VA by 7.7% over the last year. And by a whopping 17.8% (annual avg - $1.35 to $3.06) since 2002! If that rate happened again over the next 5 years, we'd be paying $6.95 per gallon! And I'd be saving between $1200 & $1400 per year on fuel.
Of course, it COULD be a peak, and prices go down for a few years. But with Iran and Venezuela, I kinda doubt the long term trends are downward.
And there's always the "Thumpa Thumpa" concern. Not to be ignored or discounted.
Time to chat again with She Who Must Be Obeyed.