...so according to you, a QB with 4 SERIOUS neck surgeries..is MORE of a sure thing...than a 1st year coach...? LMAO! ok...
Everyone is entitled to their opinion...
How many players coming back from any injury got hit once and then said 'no, I'm good, don't need to do this anymore' ? Name one.
The 'lets see him get hit' argument is just hype most players get when coming back from injury, when has it ever been anything but?
As a result, i'd put more stock in Manning's track record of success rather than than a team that hasn't been good for nearly a decade and moving to new schemes and with a first time coach at the helm this season.
Like it or not, Oakland is rebuilding, and all they've gotten for first round picks invested in Palmer and Seymour are 8-8 seasons... unless they win it all this year or next that's probably the high point of those investments... and then where are they at without Seymour, Palmer, and McFadden?
The best Raiders fans can hope for is that when McFadden is injured (something everyone who watches football has come to expect, almost to the Knowshon Moreno level of habitual injuries - just a higher upside) it isn't for a stretch of games they would have been expected to win (vs Browns, Bucs, home division games).
Edit:
Comparing Knowshon who is seen a relative failure in Denver to McFadden is kinda of interesting, they are very similar.
Moreno has
played 75% of his possible games, McFadden 70%
Both have
started only 50% of possible games.
McFadden 2627 yards has Moreno has 1905... but McFadden has a year on him, excluding last year they're only 100 yards apart. Per season they average 635 and 656 yards, McFadden with the slight edge.
Like I said, one is seen as savior and makes or breaks games - or sinks seaons, the other has had flashes but ultimately seen as a failure and the franchise is moving on. Tale of two teams.