Well half the local stations seem to think South Florida is in major danger, the other half says we are in major danger of getting flooded, but that the storm is going to hit Central FL again.
One of the "funnier" forecasts has Frances turning into a category 3 the instant it hits Vero Beach (what do they have a 70ft concrete wall there or something?) then turning into a 2 in Orlando, and then it like goes on into like Tennessee as a regular storm.
I'll take a page of experience from Andrew, it never hits where they "Say" it will hit, it's just too hard to tell. Charley was going to hit Tampa, it hit Punta Gorda/Orlando. Andrew was going to hit Ft. Lauderdale, then 2 hours before it was going to hit Downtown Miami, Andrew actually hit 35 miles south of THAT.
The computer models keep acting like these 2 high pressure systems will not join and form a path to push the hurricane upwards, I just don't see it happening IMO. My personal forecast is this:
The Bahamian chain is slowing the strength of this storm, just like Andrew when this hurricane hits the warm clear waters of the jet stream currents it will intensify and the eye will form to be a high Cat. 4 again. The actual eye will hit Pompano Beach to West Palm Beach Jupiter at the highest, it will cross Florida in a line, and fall out on the west side around Fort Myers. So who are you going to believe THEM? Or a guy who knows nothing about weather?