I seriously doubt that! You'll see some hefty prices for those services.
I'm not yet convinced that IPTV will force the unbundling of cable channels, but I can see the scenario under which this could happen. Here's how:
-Content providers continue to push up the price of basic cable / satellite by overpaying for programming (sport in particular) and then passing along the higher costs to subscribers. Right now, the basic cable services (including Over-The-Air channels) are scrambling to grab more subscriber money as advertising revenues decline.
-More people (especially younger people) decide they can live without cable / satellite, as they are already getting all the information / entertainment they need from the web. (This is also already happening - an NPR story this week focused on people who have dumped cable in favor of getting content on-line.)
If this trend accelerates (and that's a very big IF) cable / satellite revenues start to decline (from both subscribers and advertisers) and rates go up again for the people left behind. This either starts a downward spiral that kills off the weakest cable, satellite and content providers and/or it causes an outraged public to petition congress to force the unbundling of channels so that viewers will only have to pay for the content they want.
While I think it would be suicide for Dish to drop ESPN, I would like to see legislation that would allow cable providers to decide how they want to bundle channels instead of allowing them to be held hostage by content providers like ABC / Disney who currently dictate the decisions about how channels will be bundled. That would allow Dish (and other companies) to put ESPN (and other expensive channels) in a higher tier, where it belongs, and allow non-sports fans to select a lower priced tier of channels if they prefer not to feed the ESPN pig.