raymo721 said:
Not so lucky me got a 63hr HD and 420hr SD HR10-250 from Weeknees(sorry Robert) about a month ago. Just Joined this forum a few weeks ago and found out about the mpeg4 news. Have not gotten the 3lnb dish yet, just enjoying HD OTA. Someone tell me if I should wait for the "free upgrade". I live near DC so I should be in the first round of upgrades right?? My brain hurts!
Get the 3LNB, and go ahead and subscribe to HD. It will ensure that you DO get the upgrade offer when it comes. Besides,
there is a lot you can do with your Tivo right now.
To sum up what seems plausible:
1) The Spaceway satellites will begin broadcasting HD-LIL signals in MPEG-4 for the top 12 DMAs. Subscribers in those markets who want HD-LIL will be offered a new box for little or no out-of-pocket cost, including replacing the HD Tivo with the new version.
2) NFL Sunday Ticket HD will also move onto the Spaceway satellites, with those subscribers also being offered an upgrade (this seems more like speculation, since I have not seen a press release implying this. However, see my guess #5, below. This seems likely, since D* will need to free enough bandwidth to simulcast MPEG-4 on the traditional satellites?).
3) As an inducement to move to MPEG-4, a few additional national HD channels will be added to the Spaceway satellites (e.g., Starz! HD, TNT). Regional Sports Networks might or might not be added, and these might or might not be MPEG-4 specific (e.g., like the recent YES HD add).
4) All of the current SD content on the existing satellites will largely stay the same, with some of the typicaly moving around and the odd additional channel here and there to ensure that existing MPEG-2 customers do not see any decrease in functionality during the transition.
5) The variable here is NFL-ST in HD, since this consumes a lot of bandwidth currently. If it moves, then there will be space for more channels on the existing transmission platform. Of course, this might be what is needed to start multi-casting the "normal" line-up in MPEG-4.
6) The "transition" hardware will be MPEG-2 and MPEG-4 compatible, as well as Ka and Ku compatible. The new dishes will probably be larger, and will require additional LNBs for the Ka satellites. SD subscribers may need new LNBs and/or dishes, depending upon whether/where D* can find the bandwidth for the MPEG-4 simulcast.
I think I understand the coming transition, but I do still have one question:
7) To make all of this work, my guess is that ALL HD must migrate to the Spaceway satellites to free up enough bandwidth on the existing satellites so that they can simulcast in MPEG-4 while various markets are transitioned?
However, I don't think that this will actually free-up enough bandwidth to prevent the Mk1A Total Choice subscribers from only having to do a box-swap. Even with all of the PPV and ancillary stuff moved over, my impression is that the existing satellites are still largely running at capacity. D* can always turn the crank one more time on the compression lever, but they are pushing it with SD PQ for my tastes as it currently is. Since D* budgeted something like $700 - $800 million for subscriber transition, IIRC, this seems like a box swap strategy is necessary to meet the budget with 12 million subscribers.
Later,
Bill