Hi, guys. Irronically just back from Miami. Couple of points, for what they are worth.
First, I am not a "drive by accuser". The fact that I feel that the rules apply to Outlaw State in no way changes my similar opinion that the rules also apply to Miami (the real one, not the one in Ohio).
Second, Miami is a unique school to be at the top of Div I. It a mid-sized private school. Not named for a state. While certainly not the University of Phoenix, its not Vandy or Duke either. A solid, but certainly mid-level, academic college. Further, it does not particulary recruit, in terms of regular students, in Florida, but rather in metro NYC, less than 30% of its students are from south Florida. It does not depend, as do most schools, on a lot of alumni giving, but rather on a few boosters and on just attracting fans from around the metro area, in competition with the Dolphins, Marlins, et al. And it plays far off campus in a rented pro stadium. It does not sell out, and does not charge what big schools charge.
Third, there are two H U G E state colleges in south Florida, both at the bottom of Div I in football. Both have to understand that IF Miami gets a death penalty or something close to it, they could fill the gap in a totally different way. If, say, Ohio State got the death penaly, Ohio U or Toledo are not going to gain from that, but FIU and FAU could relative to Miami.
Fourth, if FSU goes to the SEC and the ACC becomes something like the Leastleftovers is today, Maimi is in further trouble.
Fifth, Miami really does, and THIS IS NOT AN EXCUSE, recruit players from among the very poorest parts of its metro area in many cases. Players who really do not have any "walking around money". And players who in no way fit in with the upper-middle class and upper class rich northeasterners that are the regular student body.
Sixth, Miami's president is obviously a person who has no respect for rules in any context. This could be bad for it.
Seventh, because there is a bankruptcy involved, many pros and did-not-make-its, may acually have to pay back the money they took, which is, IMHO, a great thing.
All that said, a death penalty to Miami would be as devistating to it as it was to SMU, or more so. The school could actually fall, forever, off the radar of sports in such a context. But we are getting ahead of ourselves. We have some guy in jail for being a fraud's word. What is that worth? Guy is going to get out and wants to write a book someday and all of that. NCAA will need some proof, but if it there, then it is there. Does it warrant "death"? Well, Miami has openly cheated for 30 years. The NCAA has to get serious with these teams.