The path of the storm along the coast will determine how much threat there is to North Carolina. If it tracks just off the coast, it creates a strong NE wind, which for the New Bern, NC area, where I spend the colder months, creates serious flooding for my neighbors. A strong NE wind blowing over the relatively shallow Pamlico Sound pushes water up the estuary of the Neuse river, which narrows like a funnel. The Trent River which joins the Neuse at New Bern can rise 8 to 10 feet. My home there is well above any flood level, so we are not concerned. But about 500 homes in our little community of River Bend were flooded in Hurricane Florence a few years ago. The other threat will be river flooding a few miles inland, regardless of the exact track of the storm.
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