I don't know about "No new HD for 6 months". But I am willing to make the following call, based on exit polls, tea leaves and technology:
No New National HD that Matters to anyone (Speed, USA, FX, Bravo, etc.) for at least Four Months based on:
1) If they were going to light something up with existing capacity, they would have done it by now. They have as much capacity freed up as they are going to get freed up in the short term. There is no reason to light up anything this week that was not valid last week. And if they light up anything new, all the printed collateral material is obsoleted. So I have officially lost hope for anything in the short term nationally, the Pub excitement of last week notwithstanding.
2) AMC 14 is for LiL, not National. SO it goes up in what, middle of March? It becomes active for Lil in what Late April-Early May? THEN they MIGHT be able to move a satellite (Rainbow 1?)from 61.5 to 110 or 119. How long is that going to take? Weeks? Followed by Testing? So we are Well into June by that point.
3) In the interim, SeaLaunch might put up a New Echostar Satellite in May or June. But it is not a SLAM DUNK that the satellite will even be for the US. They might have to launch the China Satellite first. In which Case the US satellite might not make it into the air until October.
AS for Mojo,Tennis, WFN (which could just as well be named WTFN as far as I am concerned), the only one of those that matters is Smithsonian. Which I have seen and which is sorta OK.
So, I have hope for the election. But I have no hope for seeing much no HD before October, which means MOST of the OLYMPICS will be in SD. Which means I will likely move to DIrectv in June or July when my contract runs out.
Given an analysis of the known world order, what other conclusions can be draw?