Indy said:
I seriously doubt Dish will offer any type of upgrade to existing HD customers for quite some time...
Get used to the mpeg2 channels you are watching because no deal will be offered for the mpeg4 equipment until mpeg 2 is about to go dark. Remember the 4psk to 8psk transition? Took a while to get to the customers using the model 5000 with the HD modulator. And that had the sense of urgency because the recording that was going on.
In other words if you are not a "New Fish" ready to be caught by Dish be ready to buy your way to mpeg 4 for big bucks. Dish will chum the waters with incentives for the new business LONG before feeding current customers already on the hook
I think you are right.
I shudder to think what the life of a Dish CSR is going to be when LiL HD becomes available and existing customers are told...
"Yes,you can get HD locals...If you send me $700 MORE dollars. Your 942 is still a "fine receiver."
("Fine receiver" was an actual term used by a Dish CSR when I called yesterday to see the minimum programming I could carry and still be eligible for any potential "upgrade" and if I could use my 942 and 921 as OTA receivers.)
Try explaining to the wife that the less-than-a-month-old 942 you just bought (to augment your less-than stellar performing 921) is going to result in the expenditure of even MORE money for a Di-rect TV HD DVR, which will ALSO have to be exchanged for MORE money, unless you want to wait and see how Dish is going to ask you for MORE money to exhange your 942.
"Yes Honey, you can get the Lifetime Abused Women Channel back, just as soon as I get down to Best Buy and cough up another $600, but don't worry, there's a REBATE!"
I also think they will "tier" the pricing for the HD pack. 921 and 942 suckers will pay one price. The "expanded HD" pack will cost more.
I propose we have an "HD Sucker Index," and use it to determine the price of any 622 upgrade. For example:
If you paid $1000 for your 921 AND $699 for your 942, you're a Grade A+ Sucker.
If you paid $549 for your 921 and $699 for your 942, you're a Grade A, etc.
I'm sure they have run the numbers, and the HD DVR people they lose to cable and D* will just be a small blip in the churn report.