And if you already have a Tivo Dvr already, its actually $129.99 instead. I basically got my second basic Roamio for free by paying 129.99 upfront for a years service.
The refurb was made in Oct 2014, the new in box was made in Dec 2014. The refurb was spotless inside, it had a Seagate 500gb made in Sept 2013- no big deal, I replaced it with a 2 TB WD made Dec 2014 anyways
Since the annual and monthly service fees come with essentially an extended warranty as long as you keep paying the fee, I don't see a downside to a refurb.
And I noticed that $129 deal too, but as a new user I'm not elgible for it.