jayn_j hit the issue between the eyes. It's like we say in the motorcycle world: Fast, Cheap, Reliable - pick 2. (You can't have all 3.)
But as I mentioned in the first post on this topic, I think the 3K hr. limit is understated. To be sure there have been plenty of misapplications of 'lytics in recent years, confounded by cheap knock-offs (counterfeits) that flooded the market. This was prolific in PCs for a couple of years. (Didn't we already have this conversation elsewhere, or maybe I'm remembering another forum ??) My own company is still mitigating an OEM power supply recall in which a certain AL 'lytic is failing after about 2 years in service (>16K hrs. in a 24/7/365 application). But I think we're past that now ??
I spent 20+ years in the ceramic cap. manufacturing world and learned quite a few things about competing technologies. For SMPS, which is what we have in both LED and CFL drivers, the AL 'lytics are still the caps of choice primarily due to low cost. This expanding market may continue to force alternate technologies or economies of scale that will either make AL 'lytics more reliable, or push other varieties like tantalums or possibly even ceramics in as replacements. The issue in SMPS is maintaining a relatively low, but finite and stable Equivalent Series Resistance (ESR) value. In cheap AL 'lytics ESR degrades (increases) over time to the point where the cap and possibly the unit it's in literaly burns-up. Local overload protection usually kicks-in to prevent a catastrophe but at that point the unit is worthless.
I haven't taken any LED units apart yet to see what makes them tick. I took a couple of CFL bases apart and in each case the semiconductors were the problem, not the caps. Heat is a killer of all components...