This is a repeat of the initial launches of DVD, DVD recordables for PC's , Beta, VHS etc....All early adopters got nailed and paid a premium for their eagerness (I was one of them too!)
If either format is to succeed, a price point must be reached that will encourage joe consumer to unload his $50 DVD player in favor of an HD player. Not saying that there will be a $50 player but I do believe the price point will have to reach $99.99 or else...BOTH will not make it.
There will always be those of us will to part with the $$ for HQ! (Like my Pioneer 59i at $1000 when it launched) After all... I REALLY can see a difference in color saturation, PQ etc...especially in an Upconverted movie!
I think I paid about $700 for my 1st DVD recordable for the PC (SCSI) and perhaps $12-15 per blank. (No overrun protection either)
Normal people (NOT US) will not pay $500-$1000 for an HD player...heck, most of them do not even have a stereo (5.1 system) that costs that amount!
To make matters worse, Joe Consumer will look at the Picture as it stands today and wonder WHY...)
Heck, Most cannot even discern the pixilization inthe current Sammy BR player ....BLEH!
When Blockbuster makes a move...things will get sorted out or failure is justy around the corner! <for both>
IMHO!!
Jeff