navychop said:
Why bother removing the flag? Just have your commercial grade/pirate grade equipment ignore the flag. Make your copies with the anti copy flag still intact. Then your copies can't be copied by your competition, unless they also are on such a scale as to also have equipment that ignores the flag.
The Hollywood studios must despise their customers.
You are assuming that the encryption will be broken to make digital copy for copy. The Image Restraint Token is used to down rez any analog copying from an HD device to a video capturing system. If what you say is true, and the pirates can make copies with ICT still intact.. then that means they have broken the encryption itself.. at which point it would be very easy to cut out all region coding, macro vision, ICT, etc.. And if that happened, I think the studios would stop making software right then and there and leave the HD Hardware developers high and dry. Nobody will be able to crack HD encryption.. It is military grade.. If it happens, it will be like last time where the keys were compromised by a manufacturer. It will be interesting to see if they keep a lid on it this time.. I think they will have more success with their encryption being they failed miserably last time around. The studios are more then paranoid about HD encryption.
But the interesting thing is that CATV HD and DBS HD does not have any Image Contraint Token. People talk about pirates being able to copy HD from HD DVD's from the discs.. But what is already happening is people are posting the HD TS files on the net that have been captured from CATV/DBS HD streams. And believe it or not, I have seen Network DVD players for sale that can except a HD TS stream via RJ-45 from a Desktop PC. HD piracy has already begun. So I can understand the studios paranoia about ICT. Its one thing for somebody to download a huge 18 gig file on usenet, its quite another for somebody to make a perfect 1080p copy in real time with a rented HD DVD using a capture system. Also, I don't think file size is going to protect the content for long. A fast cable connection will do the job in less time then it takes for you to sleep at night.
Just from what I have seen so far, I think the studios are going to loose the war with the pirates, and already have with HD streaming on TV systems and even OTA HD. So like usual, the ones that will ultimately suffer with ICT and other DRM tools will be the honest Joe who pays for everything.
If the studios really want to plug the analog hole then they will need to require CATV/DBS HD receivers to have HDMI to TV or ICT will be enabled. The problem is, they did not think of that when they intiatially implimented HD for CATV and DBS. So now it may be too late for them to plug that hole. Pirates don't need to use HD DVD's to steal content.. They will use the path of least resistance.. and that is on TV streams.. If the studios really want to protect HD content.. they have to plug ALL the holes.
And that leads me to my last point.. As I understand it, the Japanese HD DVD players will not have ICT enabled.. So all the movies that are released in Japan in HD will be full rez using component outputs. Thus thats another outlet for pirates to leak new releases on the net in HD as I see it.. If I am wrong please correct me.. But it only takes one digital copy to be leaked out to create a huge problem for the studios.. As you can see, ICT does not look like a viable means to stop the dedicated pirates.
I think that alot of people may figure out how to pirate HD content to their HD TV that normally would not even try it. But with many people with expensive HD TV's with component outputs, I can see them trying to figure out other means to deliver full HD rez to their TV's. If they can't do it legally because of ICT, then they may try other means. Thus the studios will lose money on customers that otherwise would have gladly invested in HD software.. but with ICT, they chose not to.. I wonder if the Studios have thought about that?