The AutoHop feature can be a sticking point given that whatever concession is made to ABC (if any) would need to applied to NBC, CBS, and FOX also (or Dish is buying a whole mess of trouble).
I don't see Dish killing AutoHop for anybody so I'm not sure what Disney/ESPN/ABC expects Dish to do? A longer time after broadcast? Only one AutoHop watch allowed for each show? Wish I could be a fly on the wall.
Dish will drop Autohop to carry ESPN/Disney/ABC. The number of subs lost if they do not have these channels long term would far exceed any Hopper subscriber additions because of autohop. It is not like a competitor would dare put in ad skipping tech if Dish loses theirs, customers will not be able to go elsewhere for ad skipping.
Dish will blame the networks, but the networks own the programming and if they do not allow it to be autohopped Dish will not have a choice. Dish could win all the lawsuits, but if they do not have any channels, the win is empty. If you eliminate all the Disney, CBS, FOX, NBC owned stations and cable networks, Dish will not have any content to carry. Eventually all their contracts will have to be renewed.
Perhaps Dish will agree to pay extra for channels to cover autohop? Would it be worth $1+/month/hopper sub to compensate the network for autohop? Would Dish pay such a fee? That might be an interesting negotiating tactic. Dish now charges a hefty monthly fee for the hopper, perhaps they could pay a premium for the autohop of the big 4?