Trip,
4G LTE has been both a technical and market success and continues to be enhanced. The FCC knows that 5G needs a lot of spectrum, so they're basically handing any and all available spectrum over to the big mobile carriers who are promising "5G". It's a sacrifice of precious spectrum.
4G LTE has also been gradually evolving to meet new demand, and the limiting factor on mobile speed is often battery drain – more bits mean more power. The far higher speeds promised for 5G don’t make much sense for mobility. Does a 5” screen need 4K video? Yet this is most definitely the driving force behind US spectrum policy.
In a related story dated yesterday...Intelsat and SES, the world’s two largest geostationary satellite operators, along with chip-maker Intel and, as of today Eutelsat, back a plan to free up 100 MHz of C-band as long as new users cover the cost of migrating customers and lost opportunities. The satellite companies are giving in. Some spectrum now and later down the line, the greedy cellphone companies will want the rest
John
I'm well aware of what the FCC knows; see my signature.
But I think "handing" is a bit of a loaded term. It's more like if you pay me $5 and I then hand you a burger. They're paying for it. In the case of C-band spectrum, the current licensees would be paid one way or another, which is why Intelsat and SES are playing ball. The market is speaking.
"5G" has been a very poorly defined term in any event. I've heard talk of it being used to give competition to cable companies for home service. I've heard talk of it being used to help with congestion problems in cities and at major events. I've heard talk of using it for applications that are still yet to come, like car-to-car communication or medical applications. I've heard talk of it used on existing spectrum in smaller amounts as well as in the ultra-wide configurations discussed elsewhere, leaving the question of whether it's more efficient than LTE without the massive extra spectrum allocations, and if so, by how much. (If not, then is it just LTE with very wide channels?) There are a lot of open questions still to be resolved, but in the mean time, mobile data usage does continue to rise. The market is speaking.
The FCC also sold off quite a bit of the OTA spectrum, despite the statistics showing an increase in viewership. These wireless companies must have considerable pull with the bureau.
Congress passed a law requiring the auction to occur. That law made the Broadcast Incentive Auction a voluntary process; had none of the TV stations decided to sell, nothing would have happened. Not only did the stations sell, some of them sold at fire sale prices--those stations were desperate to get out of the business and evidently couldn't find other buyers who would pay what they wanted. Only two stations got the opening price offered, and most got substantially less. The market spoke.
In this case, C-band isn't targeted at the general public anymore, so unlike the Broadcast Incentive Auction where there was an argument to be made as to the value to the general public that may or may not have been captured in the process, I'm not sure there is one here considering that outside of the hobbyist market (which is what most of us here are) the general public doesn't have any interaction with C-band. The market is speaking.
Now whether or not the market should be allowed to speak on these issues is a matter for debate, one on which I won't state an opinion, but it's not as if the FCC is seizing spectrum and then turning around and giving it away for nothing. And please note that I'm not actually taking a position on anything here, I'm just trying to make sure readers here have a full picture of what's going on.
- Trip