OK, let's start there. Do you factor in automatic raises every year? Or you agree to $1/channel in 2019 and you still expect to pay $1/channel in 2050?I'd pay $1 per local HD channel to skip commercials, and $0.25 per SD local on a monthly basis, especially if I wasn't paying $12 just to have access to the channels in the first place.
Then you get into the argument that people are paying $5/month+ for ESPN, yet more people watch broadcast TV. Without MVPDs, ESPN would have 0 viewers. Without MVPDs, broadcast stations would still have thousands (hundreds of thousands? Millions? across the country).
Yes, MVPDs help get the signal to places that can not receive terrestrial TV. But there are many more people who could receive OTA, but elect not to because "it's easier" to get everything from one box.