Well, Phil was at -2 at one point but he bogied a couple holes on the very tough final four holes to finish at Even Par. Plenty of not-so-big-name players on the leaderboard (Jason Dufner -7, Brendan Steele -6, Keegan Bradley -5), but I think they'll fall back a couple shots on the back nine. I think we'll wind-up with several players tied for the lead at -5 but who knows. Regardless, I think Phil is too far back to be a serious contender tomorrow - especially the way he is spraying the ball off the tee. Elsewhere, Lee Westwood has crept his way back up to -3 and tied for 7th. Also, Steve Stricker is still handing around at -4. I think Westwood has the best shot of winning his first major.
This course has some birdie opportunities, but disaster is always right around the corner; water comes into play on 9 of the holes and the sandtraps are absolutely nasty - players are going to lose a half-shot, on average, if they wind up in one. I foresee a lot of choking tomorrow afternoon on this course.