This is one of the few things we again on, they are not going to get streaming rights from the MLB for all those other teams, also does not matter because no one has any interest in their streaming service-
That is correct. People that cord switched did so to get away from the "sports tax". People with interest in the local baseball team, self-selected to stay where they are, so the numbers are low.
But, you are correct, even in a world where there is no cable, et al, and the only way to watch the home team every night is to buy it a la carte, the number that will do so it very small. That is the hard to understand but true, thing about, particularly, baseball. It is a HIGHLY regional sport, the most regional by far. The local team's game is often the single highest rated thing on TV, every night, all summer. But, that is still just 2 or 3 or 4 % of people. That is how many people who, if they could afford it, pay for the local team. They seem settled on about $120/season. 4% of any market, even NY or LA, times $120 is 10s of millions less than the teams were getting from the RSN model.
Just rip the band aid off now and declare Chapter 7, so we can get to the future faster regarding the MLB.
Problem is, I don't know what model works going forward. A la carte is discussed above. It cuts revenues massively. OTA? I really don't see it, again, that is just giving the games away. Local TV ads are really not that expensive. That is why most RSN ads are car dealers and ambulance chasers.
And, since mlb.tv is just selling out of market games the in market sales caused to be covered in the first place, that is also in doubt.
Now Diamond has moved on to the NHL/NBA to sign ( some TV deals are up or almost up), renegotiate or drop-
The NBA and NHL are a different story. First, both are WAY less regional than baseball. You will find, not that far from the core cities, fans of random teams who watch those sports on national services. And you will find, large swaths of the country where if you asked "what is the local NBA/NHL team here" the most popular answer would be "none". And, on a REGIONAL level, the NBA and NHL are just not as popular. Yes, the ratings for national games on national services for MLB and NBA are close, with the NHL being behind, but on the RSNs, the local baseball game pulls in the ratings I discuss above, the NBA and NHL do not.
If forced to I would dip down and pay for my local baseball team. I don't care a whit about the NBA. I would have to let the NHL slide, there is too much NHL for "free" on TNT and ESPN and ESPN+ for me to pay for a team that says its my home team.